性别与城市：空间结构变迁与婚姻市场
发布时间：2025-09-02
9月
05
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时间和日期
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2025-09-05 (星期五) 10:30 上午
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12:00 下午
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地点
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综合教学楼D904会议室
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| 标题 | 性别与城市：空间结构变迁与婚姻市场 |
| 日期和时间 |
2025年9月5日（周五） 10:30 - 12:00 |
| 地点 |
综合教学楼D904会议室 |
| 主讲人 |
杨宇教授 北京大学 |
| 摘要 | Marriage and fertility are declining globally. We study the impact of spatial structural changes on marriage matching and quantify their aggregate implications for national marriage rates. Using data from China, we first present stylized facts on the joint patterns of dramatic gender-biased spatial structural changes, persistent marital social norms, and the diverging spatial distribution of singlehood characterized by a high singles rate for females (males) in more (less) developed cities. We then build a prefecture-level spatial equilibrium model with multi-sector and multi-skill production, migration, and local marriage markets. The model reveals that, without gender-specific spatial structural changes, the singles rate would be 30% lower for average women and over 50% lower for college-educated women. The key mechanism is that spatial structural changes lead more highly educated women to sort into the service sector in more developed cities than men. However, social norms remain persistent, particularly the strong preference for hypergamy. This results in more failed marriage matches for females (males) in more (less) developed cities, thereby lowering the national marriage rate. Counterfactual analysis shows that subsidizing marriage is costly and relatively ineffective amid continuing gender-specific spatial structural changes. |
| 主讲人简介 | 杨宇是北京大学光华管理学院经济学助理教授，2021年于威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校取得经济学博士学位。他的主要研究领域为劳动与空间经济学，关注人力资本、教育政策、迁移、婚姻与生育等主题。 |
