外国援助是否减少移民？来自世界银行项目的全球证据
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时间和日期
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2025-03-26 (星期三) 15:00 下午
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16:30 下午
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标题: |
外国援助是否减少移民？来自世界银行项目的全球证据 |
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日期和时间: |
15:00 - 16:30 |
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地点 |
综合教学楼D904会议室 |
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主讲人: |
Andreas Fuchs教授 哥廷根大学 |
| 摘要: |
Policymakers advocate for foreign aid to reduce the ‘root causes’ of migration at origin despite a lack of scientific evidence on the effectiveness of such policies. We examine the global effects of aid on migration by combining georeferenced data on World Bank project announcements and disbursements from 2008-2019 with survey data on migration preferences of one million individuals worldwide and bilateral migration flows. Employing event studies and instrumental variable regressions, we find that in the short term, aid improves expectations of the future and trust in institutions, reducing individual migration preferences and asylum seeker flows. In the longer term, aid increases incomes, leading to more regular migration, consistent with the ‘mobility transition’ theory. |
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主讲人简介: |
Andreas Fuchs是哥廷根大学发展经济学教授兼现代东亚研究中心主任，同时也是基尔研究所中国项目的主任。他的研究利用定量方法分析贸易、投资和发展政策，特别关注中国及其他新兴经济体。他还研究自然灾害、人道主义危机和非军事化冲突的政治经济学。 个人网站：http://www.andreas-fuchs.net/ |
